Everything is predictable

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SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024

'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' Oliver Burkeman
'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' Will Storr
'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' Tim Harford

Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.

Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.

Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.

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Everything Is Predictable

Rating: 5 / 5
Prijs: 28.31 Nu voor: € 26.78

A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives shortlisted for the royal society trivedi science book prize 2024 fascinating witty and perspective shifting oliver burkeman a remarkable book about a rem Verwacht over 11 weken .. MEER INFO

Everything Is Predictable

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Uiterlijk 12 maart in huis .. MEER INFO

The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy

Rating: 0 / 5 | Prijs: € 3.99

a fascinating and delightfully written book about some very smart people who may not or may be about to transform humanity forever jon ronson beautifully written and with wonderful humour this is a thrilling adventure story of our own future lewis dartnell author of the knowledge and origin Direct beschikbaar .. MEER INFO

Taal: en

Uitvoering: E-book

Oorspronkelijke releasedatum: 25 april 2024

Ebook Formaat: EPUB3

Ebook beveiliging: Adobe DRM

Hoofdauteur: Tom Chivers

Hoofduitgeverij: Weidenfeld & Nicolson

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Fabrikantgegevens: De informatie van de fabrikant is momenteel niet beschikbaar.

AI-gegenereerd: Nee

Studieboek: Nee

EAN: 9781399604062

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