The black swan

Rubriek: Textual/Printed/Reference Materials - Boek

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The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we dont know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. the astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 911. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we dont know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, the Black Swan is a landmark bookitself a black swan.

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The Black Swan

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Examines the role of the unexpected the black swan in both life and human history explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live why humans are unable to anticipate a black swan and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less ra Uiterlijk 29 november in huis .. MEER INFO

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Taal: en

Bindwijze: Paperback

Oorspronkelijke releasedatum: 11 mei 2010

Aantal pagina's: 444

Kaarten inbegrepen: Nee

Illustraties: Nee

Hoofdauteur: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Hoofduitgeverij: Random House Inc

Originele titel: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility (Incerto, Band 2

Personage: Harry Potter

AI-gegenereerd: Nee

Dyslexievriendelijk: Nee

Editie: 2

Extra groot lettertype: Nee

Product breedte: 133 mm

Product hoogte: 32 mm

Product lengte: 197 mm

Studieboek: Nee

Verpakking breedte: 134 mm

Verpakking hoogte: 41 mm

Verpakking lengte: 203 mm

Verpakkingsgewicht: 928 g

eWaste: Nee

EAN: 9780812973815

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