The econometric analysis of recurrent events in macroeconomics and finance

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Uiterlijk 25 juli in huis

The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the event will occur or not. These indicators are construct



The global financial crisis highlighted the impact on macroeconomic outcomes of recurrent events like business and financial cycles, highs and lows in volatility, and crashes and recessions. At the most basic level, such recurrent events can be summarized using binary indicators showing if the event will occur or not. These indicators are constructed either directly from data or indirectly through models. Because they are constructed, they have different properties than those arising in microeconometrics, and how one is to use them depends a lot on the method of construction. This book presents the econometric methods necessary for the successful modeling of recurrent events, providing valuable insights for policymakers, empirical researchers, and theorists. It explains why it is inherently difficult to forecast the onset of a recession in a way that provides useful guidance for active stabilization policy, with the consequence that policymakers should place more emphasis on making the economy robust to recessions. The book offers a range of econometric tools and techniques that researchers can use to measure recurrent events, summarize their properties, and evaluate how effectively economic and statistical models capture them. These methods also offer insights for developing models that are consistent with observed financial and real cycles. This book is an essential resource for students, academics, and researchers at central banks and institutions such as the International Monetary Fund.

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Taal: en

Bindwijze: Hardcover

Oorspronkelijke releasedatum: 26 juli 2016

Aantal pagina's: 232

Illustraties: Nee

Hoofdauteur: Don Harding

Tweede Auteur: Adrian Pagan

Hoofduitgeverij: Princeton University Press

Extra groot lettertype: Nee

Product breedte: 137 mm

Product hoogte: 25 mm

Product lengte: 216 mm

Studieboek: Ja

Verpakking breedte: 140 mm

Verpakking hoogte: 216 mm

Verpakking lengte: 216 mm

Verpakkingsgewicht: 425 g

EAN: 9780691167084

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