End times

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“Peter Turchin brings science to history. Some like it and some prefer their history plain. But everyone needs to pay attention to the well-informed, convincing and terrifying analysis in this book.” —Angus Deaton, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics

From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames

Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.

Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.

The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it's very hard to exit.

In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late.

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End Times

Rating: 0 / 5 | Prijs: € 14.99

The thought book of the year the times a guardian book of the year game of thrones style intra elite conflict meets big data tls extraordinary the culmination of many years of highly original and innovative work bloomberg one of the most iconoclastic thinkers of our time offers a brilliant Direct beschikbaar .. MEER INFO

Taal: en

Bindwijze: Hardcover

Oorspronkelijke releasedatum: 13 juni 2023

Aantal pagina's: 368

Hoofdauteur: Peter Turchin

Hoofduitgeverij: The Penguin Press

Product breedte: 161 mm

Product hoogte: 32 mm

Product lengte: 242 mm

Studieboek: Nee

Verpakking breedte: 165 mm

Verpakking hoogte: 30 mm

Verpakking lengte: 248 mm

Verpakkingsgewicht: 1105 g

EAN: 9780593490501

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